10th International Workshop on Air Quality Forecasting Research

Scientific Program

This year’s program consists of the following 6 sessions presented during 3 days

Detail Agenda (pdf)

Day 1

• Welcome and Opening Remarks

  Keynote Presentation (Overview covering the themes of the workshop)

  Gregory Carmichael (Center for Global and Regional Environmental Research, University of Iowa, USA) Advancing Atmospheric Composition Predictions and Related Services to Meet the Growing Societal Needs

• 1. Operational Air Quality Forecasting

  OAQF

  Progress and challenges in operational air quality forecasting

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  Moderator: Mike Moran (Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC), Canada)

  Panel presentations (invited):

  Radenko Pavlovic (Meteorological Service of Canada, ECCC, Canada) Overview of the ECCC Operational AQ Forecasting Program: Status, Recent Improvements, and Perspectives

  Ivanka Stajner (NOAA Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, MD, USA) Development of NOAA’s next generation air quality and aerosol predictions

  Vincent-Henri Peuch (Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service, ECMWF, Reading, UK) Progress and challenges with Air Quality forecasting in Europe

  Panel Discussion

  Li Zhang, Georg Grell, Raffaele Montuoro et al. Development and Evaluation of the Aerosol Forecast Member in NCEP’s Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS-Aerosols)

  Patrick Campbell, Ariel Stein, Barry Baker, et al. *Advancement of the National Air Quality Forecast Capability Using the NOAA Global Forecast System: Model Development and Community Applications *

  Krisztina Lázár, Anita Tóth, Zita Ferenczi, Emese Homolya Effect of the uncertainty in meteorology on air quality model predictions

  Nikolay Balashov, Amy Huff, Anne Thompson Interpretation of Probabilistic Surface Ozone Forecasts: A Case Study for Philadelphia

  Sylvain Ménard, Jack Chen, Konstantinos Melenaou et al. Environment and Climate Change Canada’s FireWork Forecasts During the 2021 Fire Season and Recent System Upgrades

  Daniel Tong, Alexander Baklanov, Patrick M. Manseau, Radenko Pavlovic Improving Collective Capability of Vegetation Fire and Smoke Pollution Forecasts over North America

  George Georgiou, Theodoros Christoudias, Jonilda Kushta et al. Real-time air quality forecasting over the Eastern Mediterranean with WRF/Chem

• 2. Emissions and Inventories

  EI

  Development and evaluation of emissions inventories used in air quality modeling.

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  Moderator: Nicolas Huneeus (Departamento de Geofísica, Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile)
  Panel presentations (invited):

  Brian McDonald (NOAA Chemical Sciences Laboratory, Boulder, CO, USA) Developing Near Real-time Emissions over the US during the COVID-19 Pandemic

  Andriannah Mbandi (South Eastern Kenya University, Kenya) The integrated assessment of air pollution, climate change & sustainable development in Africa

  Mauricio Osses (Departamento Ingeniería Mecánica, Universidad Técnica Federico Santa María, Chile) Transport emissions in Chile, current situation and looking ahead for a carbon-neutral future?

  Panel Discussions

  Astrid Manders, Renske Timmermans, Antoon Visschedijk et al. Improving black carbon modelling: emissions and model evaluation

Day 2

• 3. Data Assimilation

  DA

  Data assimilation using ground and satellite-base observations.

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  Moderator: Rajesh Kumar (National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA)

  Panel presentations (invited):

  Arthur Mizzi (NASA Ames/USRA, NCAR/CISL/DAReS and CU Boulder, CO, USA) Assimilation of Multiple Satellite Retrievals with Emissions Adjustment to Improve High Resolution Air Quality Forecast Skill and Predictability

  Antje Inness (Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service, ECMWF, Reading, UK) Assimilation of atmospheric composition observations in the global Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service (CAMS) system

  Fei Jiang (International Institute for Earth System Science, Nanjing University, China) Development of a Regional multi-Air Pollutant Assimilation System (RAPASv1.0) and its application to emission inversion

  Panel Discussion

  Youhua Tang, Catherine Thomas, Cory Martin et al. Develop and Evaluate the AIRNow Assimilation in JEDI for RRFS-CMAQ: a Case Study for Summer 2019

  Bo Huang, Mariusz Pagowski, Samuel Trahan et al. Near-Real-Time Global Aerosol Data Assimilation and Forecasting at NOAA/OAR/GSL

  Mariusz Pagowski, Arlindo da Silva, Shih-wei wei et al. Developing Aerosol Reanalysis at NOAA. Version 1.0: Methodology and Results

• 4. Urban Air Quality Modeling

  UAQ

  Advances and challenges in urban air quality modeling.

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  Moderator: Pablo Saide (AOS and IoES, University of California at Los Angeles, CA, USA)

  Panel presentations (invited):

  Sachin Ghude (Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India) Integrated air quality forecasting and decision support system for Delhi

  Jian He (NOAA CSL/CU CIRES Boulder, USA) Modeling COVID Perturbation on Urban Emissions over the US

  Lya Lugon von Marttens (Environ. Modelling, Max Planck institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany) Using multi-scale modelling to calculate primary and secondary pollutant concentrations in urban areas with a street resolution

  Panel Discussion

  Craig Stroud, Rabab Mashayekhi, Alain Robichaud et al. Analysis of surface ozone exceedance events in the Detroit/Windsor area during the Michigan-Ontario Ozone Source Experiment (MOOSE)

  Rodrigo Muñoz-Alpizar, Craig Stroud, Ayodeji Akingunola et al. Recent developments of a high resolution operational air quality system at ECCC

• Poster Sesion

  Poster Session

  Moderator: Megan Melamed (NOAA Chemical Science Laboratory, Boulder, CO, USA)

  Congwu Huang, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University A data assimilation method combined with machine learning and its application to anthropogenic emission adjustment in CUACE model

  Miguel Zavala, MCE2 Estimation of uncertainties in model-ready emissions inventories for air quality modeling applications

  Prashant Singh, Bhupesh Adhikary, Pradeep Sarawade Carbonaceous aerosol from open burning and its impact on regional weather in South Asia

  Cuauhtemoc Turrent, Alejandro Dominguez, Agustin Garcia, Victor Almanza, CICESE Dispersion of atmospheric pollution from surface oil burns in the Gulf of Mexico

Day 3

• 5. Using Observations for Model Evaluation

  OME

  Verification and evaluation air quality modeling and forecasting using observations

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  Moderator: James Crawford (NASA Langley Research Center, Virginia, USA)
  Panel presentations (invited):

  Tara Jensen (National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA) The Building Blocks For Informative Model Evaluation Activities

  Henk Eskes (Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, Netherlands) Validation of the Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service forecasts and reanalyses

  Agustín García (Instituto de Ciencias de la Atmosfera y Cambio Climático, UNAM, CDMX, Mexico) Air Quality Evaluation System: Central México Case Study

  Panel Discussion

  Peewara Makkaroon, Yunyao Li, Daniel Tong et al. Development and Evaluation of North America Wildfire Ensemble Forecast: Initial Application to the 2020 Western United States “Gigafire"

  Mike Moran, Patrick M. Manseau, Si Jun Peng et al.Routine Multi-model Performance Analysis over North America for Six Operational Air Quality Forecast Systems

• 6. Application of Air Quality Modeling and Forecasting

  AQF

  Impacts of Air Quality related to Wildfires, Dust and Sand Storms, Climate Change, Health and Policy

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  Moderator: Alexander Baklanov (WMO Research Department and University of Copenhagen, Denmark)
  Panel presentations (invited):

  Xiao-ye Zhang (Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing, China) Sand and dust storm forecasts and the extended R&D and application of CUACE

  Jorge Pachón (Facultad de Ingenieria, Universidad de la Salle, Bogotá, Colombia) Assessment of health impacts in Bogota using an air quality modeling platform

  Ravan Ahmanov (CU Boulder CIRES and NOAA/GSL, USA) Operational forecasting of smoke, visibility and smoke-weather interactions by the high-resolution RAP/HRRR-Smoke models

  Michaela Hegglin (Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, UK) Effect of Climate Change on Air Pollution

  Luis Gerardo Ruíz-Suárez (Coordinación General de Contaminación y Salud Ambiental, Instituto Nacional Ecología y Cambio Climático, Mexico) The Challenges of the Application of Air Quality Modeling and Forecasting in Decision-Making in Mexico

  Panel Discussion

  José Pablo Sibaja Brenes, Rosa Alfaro Solís, María Martínez Cruz Use of the AERMOD code to estimate SO2 dispersion from emissions of Turrialba Volcano, Costa Rica

  Ariel Stein, Barry Baker, Youngsun Jung et al. Operational Air Quality Model Version 6: New Updates and Performance Evaluation

  Xiaoyang Chen, Yang Zhang, Daniel Tong et al. Comparative Evaluation of Gas-Phase Chemistry and Aerosol Representations for the U.S. Next-Generation National Air Quality Forecast Capability using GFSv15-CMAQv5.3.1

• Concluding Remarks

  Summarize highlights from the presentations and discussions:

  Johannes Flemming (Copernicus Atmosphere Monitoring Service, ECMWF, Reading, UK)
  Guy Brasseur (Environmental Modelling, Max Planck institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany)